Championship badgeChampionship · 9 September 2026AI PICK

Norwich badgeNorwichvsBirmingham badgeBirmingham

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.8%
Market said
55.2%
Edge
+4.6 pts
Best odds
1.81

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.81

MediumEdge +4.6%
Our model59.8%
The market55.2%

The market underrated this by 4.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Norwich badge

Norwich

Attack55
Defence83
Form57
Birmingham badge

Birmingham

Attack56
Defence59
Form70

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model76.5%
The market78.7%
Edge
-2.2
Odds
1.27

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.6%Correct
Our model59.8%
The market55.2%
Edge
+4.6
Odds
1.81

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model58.1%
The market60.2%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.66

Draw No Bet

Norwich (DNB)

Correct
Our model57.0%
The market62.5%
Edge
-5.5
Odds
1.60

Match Winner

Norwich Win

Correct
Our model43.6%
The market49.0%
Edge
-5.4
Odds
2.04

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Correct
Our model8.6%
The market9.8%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.16

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.6% · actual

1-1

11.4%

1-2

8.1%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.