Nottingham Forestvs
Aston Villa
1 - 1Full time · 0 of 0 right · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Aston Villa Win
- Model confidence
- 42.1%
- Markets called
- 0 of 0 right
- Final score
- 1 - 1
The call, locked before kick-off
Aston Villa Win
Match Winner · best price 2.00
LowEdge -7.9%
Our model42.1%
The market50.0%
What the model saw
Double chance : draw or Aston Villa
How the two sides compared
Nottingham Forest
Attack55
Defence55
Form33
Aston Villa
Attack45
Defence9
Form27
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 0 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
Edge +18.6%
Our model90.0%
The market71.4%
- Edge
- +18.6
- Odds
- 1.40
Draw No Bet
Aston Villa (DNB)
Void
Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -12.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Aston Villa Win
Our model42.1%
The market50.0%
- Edge
- -7.9
- Odds
- 2.00
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
This match is finished. The next one is not.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.