Premier League badgePremier League · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Nottingham Forest badgeNottingham ForestvsNewcastle badgeNewcastle

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.9%
Market said
57.8%
Edge
+13.1 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73

High confidenceEdge +13.1%
Our model70.9%
The market57.8%

The market underrated this by 13.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Nottingham Forest badge

Nottingham Forest

Attack59
Defence80
Form52
Newcastle badge

Newcastle

Attack68
Defence36
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.1%Close
Our model70.9%
The market57.8%
Edge
+13.1
Odds
1.73

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.6%Correct
Our model67.3%
The market63.7%
Edge
+3.6
Odds
1.57

Match Winner

Nottingham Forest Win

Edge +4.5%Miss
Our model54.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
+4.5
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Nottingham Forest (DNB)

Void
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.0%
Our model8.0%
The market7.0%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
14.32

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.0%

2-1

7.6%

2-2

7.2%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.