League One · 29 August 2026AI PICK
Notts Countyvs
Burton Albion
2 - 1Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.3%
- Market said
- 53.4%
- Edge
- +7.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.78
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.78
The market underrated this by 7.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Notts County
Burton Albion
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +7.5
- Odds
- 1.35
Draw No Bet
Notts County (DNB)
- Edge
- +15.6
- Odds
- 1.74
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +7.9
- Odds
- 1.78
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +5.4
- Odds
- 1.97
Match Winner
Notts County Win
- Edge
- +6.5
- Odds
- 2.30
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -2.1
- Odds
- 6.25
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
13.9%
1-1
14.0%
0-0
12.7%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.