League Two badgeLeague Two · 15 May 2026AI PICK

Notts County badgeNotts CountyvsChesterfield badgeChesterfield

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.4%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+17.8 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +17.8%
Our model65.4%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 17.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Notts County badge

Notts County

Attack73
Defence49
Form56
Chesterfield badge

Chesterfield

Attack52
Defence65
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +17.8%Miss
Our model65.4%
The market47.6%
Edge
+17.8
Odds
2.10

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.8%Miss
Our model63.4%
The market54.6%
Edge
+8.8
Odds
1.83

Draw No Bet

Notts County (DNB)

Edge +0.9%Void
Our model58.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Notts County Win

Edge +8.6%Miss
Our model52.1%
The market43.5%
Edge
+8.6
Odds
2.30

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model9.6%
The market8.3%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
12.02

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.6%

1-0

8.4%

1-1

7.7%

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.