Notts Countyvs
Leicester
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.8%
- Market said
- 48.9%
- Edge
- +8.9 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 8.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
1 of 3 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 1.33
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +8.9
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Leicester (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.7
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 1.80
Match Winner
Leicester Win
- Edge
- -5.7
- Odds
- 2.05
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.06
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.6%
1-1
11.4% · actual
0-2
7.4%
We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.