Serie D · 23 May 2026AI PICK
Nova Iguaçuvs
Noroeste
1 - 0Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.1%
- Market said
- 45.5%
- Edge
- +11.6 pts
- Best odds
- 2.20
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.20
The market underrated this by 11.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Nova Iguaçu
Noroeste
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +9.8
- Odds
- 1.33
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +11.6
- Odds
- 2.20
Draw No Bet
Nova Iguaçu (DNB)
- Edge
- -10.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Nova Iguaçu Win
- Edge
- +5.4
- Odds
- 2.75
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +1.6
- Odds
- 9.37
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
12.3%
1-0
10.8% · actual
1-1
10.6%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.