Serie D badgeSerie D · 7 June 2026AI PICK

Nova Iguaçu badgeNova IguaçuvsXV de Piracicaba badgeXV de Piracicaba

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
54.4%
Markets called
4 of 4 right
Final score
1 - 0

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.44

LowEdge -15.0%
Our model54.4%
The market69.4%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Nova Iguaçu badge

Nova Iguaçu

Attack47
Defence58
Form41
XV de Piracicaba badge

XV de Piracicaba

Attack58
Defence72
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model54.4%
The market69.4%
Edge
-15.0
Odds
1.44

Match Winner

Nova Iguaçu Win

Edge +5.1%Correct
Our model51.6%
The market46.5%
Edge
+5.1
Odds
2.15

Draw No Bet

Nova Iguaçu (DNB)

Correct
Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Our model43.9%
The market61.7%
Edge
-17.8
Odds
1.62

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.6%
Our model12.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
9.13

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

12.6%

1-0

11.8% · actual

1-1

10.9%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.