Serie B badgeSerie B · 4 July 2026AI PICK

Novorizontino badgeNovorizontinovsAtletico Goianiense badgeAtletico Goianiense

3 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.1%
Market said
46.4%
Edge
+6.7 pts
Best odds
2.08

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.08

LowEdge +6.7%
Our model53.1%
The market46.4%

The market underrated this by 6.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Novorizontino badge

Novorizontino

Attack70
Defence50
Form58
Atletico Goianiense badge

Atletico Goianiense

Attack47
Defence66
Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Draw No Bet

Novorizontino (DNB)

Edge +24.7%Correct
Our model81.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
+24.7
Odds
1.75

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model71.6%
The market82.0%
Edge
-10.4
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.7%Correct
Our model53.1%
The market46.4%
Edge
+6.7
Odds
2.08

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.4%Miss
Our model52.0%
The market51.6%
Edge
+0.4
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

Novorizontino Win

Correct
Our model45.5%
The market54.1%
Edge
-8.6
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model9.8%
The market11.3%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.84

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.8%

1-1

12.3%

2-0

8.9%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.