Serie B badgeSerie B · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Novorizontino badgeNovorizontinovsAvai badgeAvai

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
49.2%
Edge
+12.0 pts
Best odds
1.96

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.96

MediumEdge +12.0%
Our model61.2%
The market49.2%

The market underrated this by 12.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Novorizontino badge

Novorizontino

Attack82
Defence71
Form60
Avai badge

Avai

Attack50
Defence50
Form45

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model78.6%
The market94.3%
Edge
-15.7
Odds
1.06

Draw No Bet

Novorizontino (DNB)

Correct
Our model70.7%
The market83.3%
Edge
-12.6
Odds
1.20

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.0%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market49.2%
Edge
+12.0
Odds
1.96

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.3%Correct
Our model55.2%
The market46.9%
Edge
+8.3
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

Novorizontino Win

Correct
Our model51.6%
The market68.5%
Edge
-16.9
Odds
1.46

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model9.9%
The market11.4%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.74

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.9%

1-1

10.7%

2-0

9.0%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.