Serie B badgeSerie B · 21 July 2026AI PICK

Novorizontino badgeNovorizontinovsCriciuma badgeCriciuma

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.7%
Market said
50.3%
Edge
+7.4 pts
Best odds
1.99

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.99

MediumEdge +7.4%
Our model57.7%
The market50.3%

The market underrated this by 7.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Novorizontino badge

Novorizontino

Attack78
Defence54
Form62
Criciuma badge

Criciuma

Attack52
Defence79
Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model74.2%
The market78.1%
Edge
-3.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.4%Miss
Our model57.7%
The market50.3%
Edge
+7.4
Odds
1.99

Draw No Bet

Novorizontino (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.4%Miss
Our model55.4%
The market42.0%
Edge
+13.4
Odds
2.38

Match Winner

Novorizontino Win

Miss
Our model40.0%
The market45.2%
Edge
-5.2
Odds
2.21

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.8%
The market11.3%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.85

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.8%

1-1

11.1%

2-0

8.2%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.