Serie B · 28 August 2026AI PICK
Novorizontinovs
Sport Recife
2 - 1Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.3%
- Market said
- 48.8%
- Edge
- +12.5 pts
- Best odds
- 2.05
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05
The market underrated this by 12.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Novorizontino
Sport Recife
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -13.2
- Odds
- 1.12
Draw No Bet
Novorizontino (DNB)
- Edge
- -8.6
- Odds
- 1.31
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +12.5
- Odds
- 2.05
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +1.2
- Odds
- 1.95
Match Winner
Novorizontino Win
- Edge
- -9.9
- Odds
- 1.67
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 9.03
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.6% · actual
1-1
10.4%
2-0
7.4%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.