Primera División badgePrimera División · 26 July 2026AI PICK

Nublense badgeNublensevsPalestino badgePalestino

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
53.9%
Edge
+7.3 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +7.3%
Our model61.2%
The market53.9%

The market underrated this by 7.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Nublense badge

Nublense

Attack57
Defence49
Form60
Palestino badge

Palestino

Attack62
Defence52
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model73.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
-2.2
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.3%Miss
Our model61.2%
The market53.9%
Edge
+7.3
Odds
1.80

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.0%Close
Our model58.8%
The market46.8%
Edge
+12.0
Odds
2.05

Draw No Bet

Palestino (DNB)

Miss
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Palestino Win

Edge +7.2%Miss
Our model38.4%
The market31.3%
Edge
+7.2
Odds
3.20

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model8.2%
The market9.5%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.2%

1-1

10.9%

1-2

8.2%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.