CONMEBOL Sudamericana badgeCONMEBOL Sudamericana · 20 August 2026AI PICK

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1 - 4
Miss

Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
51.6%
Edge
+2.2 pts
Best odds
1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.83

LowEdge +2.2%
Our model53.8%
The market51.6%

The market underrated this by 2.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Olimpia badge

Olimpia

Attack67
Defence43
Form51
Vasco DA Gama badge

Vasco DA Gama

Attack37
Defence42
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +8.9%Miss
Our model79.8%
The market70.9%
Edge
+8.9
Odds
1.41

Draw No Bet

Olimpia (DNB)

Edge +15.4%Miss
Our model71.0%
The market55.6%
Edge
+15.4
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +2.2%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market51.6%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
1.83

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model53.7%
The market58.0%
Edge
-4.3
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Olimpia Win

Edge +5.0%Miss
Our model49.4%
The market44.4%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
2.25

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model11.2%
The market12.9%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
7.78

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.2%

1-1

12.9%

2-0

10.8%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.