Segunda Liga badgeSegunda Liga · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Oliveirense badgeOliveirensevsFelgueiras 1932 badgeFelgueiras 1932

1 - 5
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
66.7%
Market said
53.8%
Edge
+12.9 pts
Best odds
1.86

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.86

MediumEdge +12.9%
Our model66.7%
The market53.8%

The market underrated this by 12.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Oliveirense badge

Oliveirense

Attack41
Defence41
Form33
Felgueiras 1932 badge

Felgueiras 1932

Attack28
Defence65
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.3%
Our model85.0%
The market78.7%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
1.27

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.9%Miss
Our model66.7%
The market53.8%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
1.86

Draw No Bet

Oliveirense (DNB)

Edge +1.9%Miss
Our model59.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Oliveirense Win

Edge +22.9%Miss
Our model58.4%
The market35.5%
Edge
+22.9
Odds
2.82

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.8%
The market58.8%
Edge
-5.0
Odds
1.70

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.6%Miss
Our model20.1%
The market17.5%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
5.72

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

20.1%

0-0

14.6%

0-1

13.5%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.