1. Division badge1. Division · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Omonia Nicosia badgeOmonia NicosiavsAEK Larnaca badgeAEK Larnaca

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
71.9%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+16.3 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

High confidenceEdge +16.3%
Our model71.9%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 16.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Omonia Nicosia badge

Omonia Nicosia

Attack82
Defence76
Form69
AEK Larnaca badge

AEK Larnaca

Attack52
Defence92
Form52

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.7%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market76.3%
Edge
+8.7
Odds
1.31

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +16.3%Close
Our model71.9%
The market55.6%
Edge
+16.3
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.7%Correct
Our model65.8%
The market62.1%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.61

Match Winner

Omonia Nicosia Win

Edge +15.6%Miss
Our model65.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+15.6
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Omonia Nicosia (DNB)

Edge +1.9%Void
Our model59.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.2%
Our model9.0%
The market7.8%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.0%

3-1

7.2%

1-0

6.5%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.