Copa Colombia badgeCopa Colombia · 10 September 2026AI PICK

Once Caldas badgeOnce CaldasvsAlianza Valledupar badgeAlianza Valledupar

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+6.2 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.10

LowEdge +6.2%
Our model53.8%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 6.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Once Caldas badge

Once Caldas

Attack61
Defence73
Form52
Alianza Valledupar badge

Alianza Valledupar

Attack42
Defence56
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model77.4%
The market96.2%
Edge
-18.8
Odds
1.04

Draw No Bet

Once Caldas (DNB)

Correct
Our model69.6%
The market82.0%
Edge
-12.4
Odds
1.22

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.2%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market47.6%
Edge
+6.2
Odds
2.10

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.1%Miss
Our model53.7%
The market47.6%
Edge
+6.1
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

Once Caldas Win

Correct
Our model51.8%
The market68.0%
Edge
-16.2
Odds
1.47

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.8%
The market11.3%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.84

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.8%

1-1

12.3%

2-0

8.9%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.