First NL badgeFirst NL · 15 May 2026AI PICK

Opatija badgeOpatijavsCroatia Zmijavci badgeCroatia Zmijavci

3 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.8%
Market said
61.7%
Edge
+4.1 pts
Best odds
1.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62

MediumEdge +4.1%
Our model65.8%
The market61.7%

The market underrated this by 4.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Opatija badge

Opatija

Attack44
Defence85
Form53
Croatia Zmijavci badge

Croatia Zmijavci

Attack35
Defence34
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.1%Miss
Our model65.8%
The market61.7%
Edge
+4.1
Odds
1.62

Draw No Bet

Opatija (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Opatija Win

Correct
Our model50.5%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model43.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.4%Miss
Our model18.4%
The market16.0%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
6.24

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

18.4%

0-1

13.9%

0-0

13.0%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.