Serie B · 16 May 2026AI PICK
Operario-PRvs
Nautico Recife
2 - 6Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 67.5%
- Market said
- 62.1%
- Edge
- +5.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.61
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.61
The market underrated this by 5.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Operario-PR
Nautico Recife
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +9.2
- Odds
- 1.32
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.4
- Odds
- 1.61
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -2.4
- Odds
- 1.94
Draw No Bet
Nautico Recife (DNB)
- Edge
- -13.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Nautico Recife Win
- Edge
- +14.4
- Odds
- 3.70
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +2.0
- Odds
- 7.45
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
15.4%
1-1
10.4%
0-2
10.2%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.