Serie B badgeSerie B · 23 August 2026AI PICK

Operario-PR badgeOperario-PRvsVila Nova badgeVila Nova

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
52.5%
Edge
+1.3 pts
Best odds
1.89

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.89

LowEdge +1.3%
Our model53.8%
The market52.5%

The market underrated this by 1.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Operario-PR badge

Operario-PR

Attack73
Defence33
Form55
Vila Nova badge

Vila Nova

Attack54
Defence53
Form57

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model72.2%
The market82.6%
Edge
-10.4
Odds
1.21

Draw No Bet

Operario-PR (DNB)

Edge +1.4%Void
Our model60.2%
The market58.8%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
1.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market52.5%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
1.89

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.9%Miss
Our model53.7%
The market44.8%
Edge
+8.9
Odds
2.19

Match Winner

Operario-PR Win

Miss
Our model42.1%
The market48.3%
Edge
-6.2
Odds
2.07

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.7%
The market11.2%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.96

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.7%

1-1

12.2%

2-0

8.1%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.