USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 9 August 2026AI PICK

Orange County SC badgeOrange County SCvsTampa Bay Rowdies badgeTampa Bay Rowdies

0 - 3
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.7%
Market said
51.9%
Edge
+3.8 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +3.8%
Our model55.7%
The market51.9%

The market underrated this by 3.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Orange County SC badge

Orange County SC

Attack61
Defence41
Form44
Tampa Bay Rowdies badge

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Attack73
Defence65
Form73

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model72.7%
The market80.0%
Edge
-7.3
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.8%Correct
Our model55.7%
The market51.9%
Edge
+3.8
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Tampa Bay Rowdies (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.6%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.3%Miss
Our model55.4%
The market55.1%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.83

Match Winner

Tampa Bay Rowdies Win

Correct
Our model43.3%
The market55.6%
Edge
-12.3
Odds
1.80

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Close
Our model8.1%
The market9.3%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.72

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.1%

1-1

9.2%

2-1

7.3%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.