Serie D badgeSerie D · 22 April 2026AI PICK

Oratório badgeOratóriovsTocantinópolis badgeTocantinópolis

3 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.6%
Market said
48.1%
Edge
+15.5 pts
Best odds
2.08

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.08

MediumEdge +15.5%
Our model63.6%
The market48.1%

The market underrated this by 15.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Oratório badge

Oratório

Attack83
Defence39
Form53
Tocantinópolis badge

Tocantinópolis

Attack58
Defence51
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.5%Correct
Our model63.6%
The market48.1%
Edge
+15.5
Odds
2.08

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.3%Miss
Our model62.9%
The market54.6%
Edge
+8.3
Odds
1.83

Draw No Bet

Oratório (DNB)

Edge +0.9%Correct
Our model58.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Oratório Win

Edge +3.6%Correct
Our model53.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+3.6
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.