Superettan badgeSuperettan · 3 August 2026AI PICK

Orebro SK badgeOrebro SKvsIFK Varnamo badgeIFK Varnamo

1 - 3
Miss

Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.4%
Market said
47.5%
Edge
+9.9 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +9.9%
Our model57.4%
The market47.5%

The market underrated this by 9.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Orebro SK badge

Orebro SK

Attack35
Defence48
Form31
IFK Varnamo badge

IFK Varnamo

Attack31
Defence38
Form18

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model74.8%
The market75.2%
Edge
-0.4
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.9%Miss
Our model57.4%
The market47.5%
Edge
+9.9
Odds
2.05

Draw No Bet

Orebro SK (DNB)

Miss
Our model53.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +8.7%Miss
Our model53.1%
The market44.4%
Edge
+8.7
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

Orebro SK Win

Miss
Our model43.3%
The market48.8%
Edge
-5.5
Odds
2.05

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model13.0%
The market14.9%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
6.70

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.0%

1-1

14.9%

0-0

14.0%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.