Superettan badgeSuperettan · 25 August 2026AI PICK

Orebro SK badgeOrebro SKvsVarbergs BoIS FC badgeVarbergs BoIS FC

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
53.4%
Edge
+5.0 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +5.0%
Our model58.4%
The market53.4%

The market underrated this by 5.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Orebro SK badge

Orebro SK

Attack49
Defence39
Form29
Varbergs BoIS FC badge

Varbergs BoIS FC

Attack70
Defence66
Form69

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.5%Correct
Our model77.4%
The market76.9%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.30

Draw No Bet

Varbergs BoIS FC (DNB)

Edge +9.7%Miss
Our model64.6%
The market54.9%
Edge
+9.7
Odds
1.82

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model58.4%
The market53.4%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model54.2%
The market59.7%
Edge
-5.5
Odds
1.61

Match Winner

Varbergs BoIS FC Win

Edge +8.5%Miss
Our model50.0%
The market41.5%
Edge
+8.5
Odds
2.41

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.8%
The market10.1%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.90

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.8%

1-1

9.5%

2-2

7.0%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.