Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 9 August 2026AI PICK

Oriental badgeOrientalvsAtenas badgeAtenas

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+0.5 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

LowEdge +0.5%
Our model54.6%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 0.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Oriental badge

Oriental

Attack53
Defence48
Form40
Atenas badge

Atenas

Attack69
Defence48
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model72.7%
The market78.1%
Edge
-5.4
Odds
1.28

Draw No Bet

Atenas (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.6%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.5%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.0%Miss
Our model54.5%
The market46.5%
Edge
+8.0
Odds
2.15

Match Winner

Atenas Win

Edge +3.9%Correct
Our model43.1%
The market39.2%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
2.55

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.52

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1%

1-1

12.1%

2-1

7.5%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.