Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 4 July 2026AI PICK

Oriental badgeOrientalvsCA River Plate badgeCA River Plate

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.1%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+0.5 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

LowEdge +0.5%
Our model53.1%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 0.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Oriental badge

Oriental

Attack60
Defence55
Form53
CA River Plate badge

CA River Plate

Attack55
Defence32
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +0.2%
Our model71.6%
The market71.4%
Edge
+0.2
Odds
1.40

Draw No Bet

Oriental (DNB)

Edge +2.7%Miss
Our model59.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.5%Correct
Our model53.1%
The market52.6%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.0%
The market54.1%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Oriental Win

Miss
Our model36.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
-13.6
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.9%
The market10.2%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.9%

1-1

13.4%

1-2

7.7% · actual

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.