Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Oriental badgeOrientalvsLa Luz badgeLa Luz

0 - 0
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.1%
Market said
66.7%
Edge
+3.4 pts
Best odds
1.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

High confidenceEdge +3.4%
Our model70.1%
The market66.7%

The market underrated this by 3.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Oriental badge

Oriental

Attack56
Defence57
Form58
La Luz badge

La Luz

Attack32
Defence66
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.4%Correct
Our model70.1%
The market66.7%
Edge
+3.4
Odds
1.50

Draw No Bet

Oriental (DNB)

Edge +3.9%Void
Our model61.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Oriental Win

Edge +15.1%Miss
Our model56.8%
The market41.7%
Edge
+15.1
Odds
2.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model44.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
-9.5
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.4%Miss
Our model18.9%
The market16.5%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
6.07

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

18.9%

2-0

12.0%

0-0

10.4% · actual

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.