Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 30 August 2026AI PICK

Oriental badgeOrientalvsPlaza Colonia badgePlaza Colonia

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.0%
Market said
49.0%
Edge
+5.0 pts
Best odds
2.04

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.04

LowEdge +5.0%
Our model54.0%
The market49.0%

The market underrated this by 5.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Oriental badge

Oriental

Attack51
Defence55
Form40
Plaza Colonia badge

Plaza Colonia

Attack65
Defence63
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.2%Correct
Our model74.8%
The market74.6%
Edge
+0.2
Odds
1.34

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.0%Miss
Our model54.0%
The market49.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
2.04

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.4%Close
Our model53.8%
The market39.4%
Edge
+14.4
Odds
2.54

Draw No Bet

Oriental (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.5%
The market54.6%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.83

Match Winner

Oriental Win

Correct
Our model37.8%
The market40.5%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
2.47

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.9%
The market10.2%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.9%

1-1

13.4%

2-1

7.7%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.