First NL badgeFirst NL · 6 September 2026AI PICK

Orijent 1919 badgeOrijent 1919vsCroatia Zmijavci badgeCroatia Zmijavci

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.6%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+8.6 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +8.6%
Our model58.6%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 8.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Orijent 1919 badge

Orijent 1919

Attack63
Defence56
Form52
Croatia Zmijavci badge

Croatia Zmijavci

Attack76
Defence87
Form88

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.1%Miss
Our model80.7%
The market74.6%
Edge
+6.1
Odds
1.34

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.6%Close
Our model58.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+8.6
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Orijent 1919 (DNB)

Void
Our model56.4%
The market65.4%
Edge
-9.0
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.3%
The market54.9%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
1.82

Match Winner

Orijent 1919 Win

Miss
Our model45.5%
The market48.3%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
2.07

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.1%
The market9.3%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.72

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.1%

1-1

9.2% · actual

2-1

7.3%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.