Primera B badgePrimera B · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Orsomarso badgeOrsomarsovsReal Cartagena badgeReal Cartagena

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+0.5 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

LowEdge +0.5%
Our model54.6%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 0.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Orsomarso badge

Orsomarso

Attack42
Defence60
Form41
Real Cartagena badge

Real Cartagena

Attack81
Defence37
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model59.9%
The market76.9%
Edge
-17.0
Odds
1.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.5%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.9%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market46.7%
Edge
+7.9
Odds
2.14

Draw No Bet

Real Cartagena (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.1%
The market56.8%
Edge
-6.7
Odds
1.76

Match Winner

Real Cartagena Win

Correct
Our model30.0%
The market43.3%
Edge
-13.3
Odds
2.31

Correct Score

Score: 0-2

Close
Our model9.9%
The market11.4%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.80

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-2

9.9%

1-1

12.4%

1-2

9.9%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.