Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C badgeCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · 23 August 2026AI PICK

Os Marialvas badgeOs MarialvasvsOliveira Hospital badgeOliveira Hospital

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+2.5 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.95

LowEdge +2.5%
Our model53.8%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 2.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Os Marialvas badge

Os Marialvas

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
Oliveira Hospital badge

Oliveira Hospital

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +6.6%
Our model71.1%
The market64.5%
Edge
+6.6
Odds
1.55

Draw No Bet

Os Marialvas (DNB)

Miss
Our model59.2%

No bookmaker price published for this market

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.5%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market51.3%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
1.95

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.4%Correct
Our model53.7%
The market43.3%
Edge
+10.4
Odds
2.31

Match Winner

Os Marialvas Win

Edge +10.9%Miss
Our model42.1%
The market31.3%
Edge
+10.9
Odds
3.20

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

13.7%

1-0

8.5%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.