Primera División RFEF - Group 1 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 1 · 25 April 2026AI PICK

Osasuna II badgeOsasuna IIvsArenteiro badgeArenteiro

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.1%
Market said
65.4%
Edge
+7.7 pts
Best odds
1.53

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

High confidenceEdge +7.7%
Our model73.1%
The market65.4%

The market underrated this by 7.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Osasuna II badge

Osasuna II

Attack31
Defence47
Form27
Arenteiro badge

Arenteiro

Attack42
Defence34
Form18

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.7%Correct
Our model73.1%
The market65.4%
Edge
+7.7
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +1.8%Correct
Our model61.7%
The market59.9%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
1.67

Draw No Bet

Osasuna II (DNB)

Correct
Our model46.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-11.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Osasuna II Win

Correct
Our model44.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
-5.6
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.