Serie C - Girone A badgeSerie C - Girone A · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Ospitaletto badgeOspitalettovsLumezzane badgeLumezzane

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
44.8%
Edge
+14.6 pts
Best odds
2.23

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.23

MediumEdge +14.6%
Our model59.4%
The market44.8%

The market underrated this by 14.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model76.5%

No bookmaker price published for this market

Draw No Bet

Ospitaletto (DNB)

Correct
Our model67.9%

No bookmaker price published for this market

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.6%Close
Our model59.4%
The market44.8%
Edge
+14.6
Odds
2.23

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.7%
The market53.5%
Edge
-0.8
Odds
1.87

Match Winner

Ospitaletto Win

Edge +7.0%Correct
Our model49.4%
The market42.4%
Edge
+7.0
Odds
2.36

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model9.8%
The market11.2%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
8.90

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.8%

1-1

10.0%

2-0

8.1% · actual

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.