Serie D - Girone F badgeSerie D - Girone F · 19 April 2026AI PICK

Ostia Mare badgeOstia MarevsL'Aquila badgeL'Aquila

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.3%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+19.3 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Ostia Mare Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +19.3%
Our model69.3%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 19.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Ostia Mare badge

Ostia Mare

Attack75
Defence86
Form71
L'Aquila badge

L'Aquila

Attack45
Defence47
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

Ostia Mare Win

Edge +19.3%Correct
Our model69.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+19.3
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.8%Correct
Our model61.4%
The market52.6%
Edge
+8.8
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.3%Correct
Our model60.4%
The market54.1%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Ostia Mare (DNB)

Edge +2.9%Correct
Our model60.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.