Liga I badgeLiga I · 16 August 2026AI PICK

Oţelul badgeOţelulvsUniversitatea Craiova badgeUniversitatea Craiova

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.8%
Market said
49.3%
Edge
+8.5 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +8.5%
Our model57.8%
The market49.3%

The market underrated this by 8.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Oţelul badge

Oţelul

Attack46
Defence72
Form48
Universitatea Craiova badge

Universitatea Craiova

Attack78
Defence45
Form54

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model72.1%
The market83.3%
Edge
-11.2
Odds
1.20

Draw No Bet

Universitatea Craiova (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Void
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.5%Close
Our model57.8%
The market49.3%
Edge
+8.5
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.2%
The market53.6%
Edge
-0.4
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Universitatea Craiova Win

Miss
Our model33.3%
The market54.6%
Edge
-21.3
Odds
1.83

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.06

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.6%

1-1

11.4% · actual

0-2

7.4%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.