Primera División RFEF - Group 1 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 1 · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Ourense CF badgeOurense CFvsCelta de Vigo II badgeCelta de Vigo II

2 - 4
Correct

Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.7%
Market said
54.6%
Edge
+5.1 pts
Best odds
1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.83

MediumEdge +5.1%
Our model59.7%
The market54.6%

The market underrated this by 5.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Ourense CF badge

Ourense CF

Attack45
Defence53
Form31
Celta de Vigo II badge

Celta de Vigo II

Attack73
Defence45
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.1%Correct
Our model59.7%
The market54.6%
Edge
+5.1
Odds
1.83

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.1%Correct
Our model55.2%
The market48.1%
Edge
+7.1
Odds
2.08

Draw No Bet

Ourense CF (DNB)

Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Ourense CF Win

Our model31.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
-18.2
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.4%
Our model11.0%
The market9.6%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.42

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

11.0%

1-1

9.5%

1-2

9.5%

We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.