La Liga badgeLa Liga · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Oviedo badgeOviedovsAlaves badgeAlaves

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.2%
Market said
57.1%
Edge
+1.1 pts
Best odds
1.75

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.75

MediumEdge +1.1%
Our model58.2%
The market57.1%

The market underrated this by 1.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Oviedo badge

Oviedo

Attack37
Defence44
Form36
Alaves badge

Alaves

Attack62
Defence33
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.1%Miss
Our model58.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.5%Miss
Our model52.9%
The market52.4%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Oviedo (DNB)

Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Oviedo Win

Edge +13.9%
Our model38.9%
The market25.0%
Edge
+13.9
Odds
4.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.5%Correct
Our model12.0%
The market10.5%
Edge
+1.5
Odds
9.55

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

12.0% · actual

1-1

9.7%

1-2

9.7%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.