Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 6 September 2026AI PICK

Oviedo badgeOviedovsBurgos badgeBurgos

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
43.8%
Edge
+10.8 pts
Best odds
2.23

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.23

LowEdge +10.8%
Our model54.6%
The market43.8%

The market underrated this by 10.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Oviedo badge

Oviedo

Attack48
Defence94
Form50
Burgos badge

Burgos

Attack55
Defence46
Form52

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model70.9%
The market78.7%
Edge
-7.8
Odds
1.27

Draw No Bet

Oviedo (DNB)

Void
Our model61.6%
The market64.9%
Edge
-3.3
Odds
1.54

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.8%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market43.8%
Edge
+10.8
Odds
2.23

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model54.6%
The market65.2%
Edge
-10.6
Odds
1.45

Match Winner

Oviedo Win

Miss
Our model46.6%
The market47.8%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
2.09

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Our model8.2%
The market9.4%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.62

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

8.2%

2-1

7.7%

2-0

5.9%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.