Pacos Ferreiravs
Paredes
0 - 1Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 70.8%
- Market said
- 21.6%
- Edge
- +49.2 pts
- Best odds
- 4.62
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectParedes Win
Match Winner · best price 4.62
The market underrated this by 49.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Pacos Ferreira
Paredes
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +37.2
- Odds
- 1.95
Match Winner
Paredes Win
- Edge
- +49.2
- Odds
- 4.62
Draw No Bet
Paredes (DNB)
- Edge
- +7.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +9.0
- Odds
- 2.05
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -3.3
- Odds
- 1.77
Correct Score
Score: 0-2
- Edge
- -2.4
- Odds
- 5.31
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-2
16.4%
0-3
15.3%
0-1
11.1% · actual
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.