Liga 3 badgeLiga 3 · 15 August 2026AI PICK

Pacos Ferreira badgePacos FerreiravsParedes badgeParedes

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.8%
Market said
21.6%
Edge
+49.2 pts
Best odds
4.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Paredes Win

Match Winner · best price 4.62

High confidenceEdge +49.2%
Our model70.8%
The market21.6%

The market underrated this by 49.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Pacos Ferreira badge

Pacos Ferreira

Attack17
Defence36
Form11
Paredes badge

Paredes

Attack100
Defence27
Form75

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +37.2%Correct
Our model88.5%
The market51.3%
Edge
+37.2
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

Paredes Win

Edge +49.2%Correct
Our model70.8%
The market21.6%
Edge
+49.2
Odds
4.62

Draw No Bet

Paredes (DNB)

Edge +7.6%Correct
Our model64.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.0%Miss
Our model57.8%
The market48.8%
Edge
+9.0
Odds
2.05

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model53.2%
The market56.5%
Edge
-3.3
Odds
1.77

Correct Score

Score: 0-2

Close
Our model16.4%
The market18.8%
Edge
-2.4
Odds
5.31

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-2

16.4%

0-3

15.3%

0-1

11.1% · actual

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.