Liga 3 · 22 August 2026AI PICK
Pacos Ferreiravs
Varzim
1 - 4Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 83.1%
- Market said
- 52.1%
- Edge
- +31.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.92
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: No
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.92
The market underrated this by 31.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Pacos Ferreira
Varzim
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +19.1
- Odds
- 1.41
Draw No Bet
Varzim (DNB)
- Edge
- +34.6
- Odds
- 2.04
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +31.0
- Odds
- 1.92
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +1.2
- Odds
- 1.70
Match Winner
Varzim Win
- Edge
- +9.4
- Odds
- 2.50
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -3.9
- Odds
- 3.32
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
26.2%
0-0
28.3%
0-2
13.6%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.