Pafosvs
Apoel Nicosia
2 - 0Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 66.1%
- Market said
- 61.7%
- Edge
- +4.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.62
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectPafos Win
Match Winner · best price 1.62
The market underrated this by 4.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 1.25
Match Winner
Pafos Win
- Edge
- +4.4
- Odds
- 1.62
Draw No Bet
Pafos (DNB)
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -0.3
- Odds
- 1.62
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +6.3
- Odds
- 1.85
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 11.53
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.0% · actual
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.