1. Division badge1. Division · 22 May 2026AI PICK

Pafos badgePafosvsApoel Nicosia badgeApoel Nicosia

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
66.1%
Market said
61.7%
Edge
+4.4 pts
Best odds
1.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Pafos Win

Match Winner · best price 1.62

MediumEdge +4.4%
Our model66.1%
The market61.7%

The market underrated this by 4.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Pafos badge

Pafos

Attack74
Defence54
Form49
Apoel Nicosia badge

Apoel Nicosia

Attack41
Defence39
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Match Winner

Pafos Win

Edge +4.4%Correct
Our model66.1%
The market61.7%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
1.62

Draw No Bet

Pafos (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model61.4%
The market61.7%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.62

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.3%Miss
Our model60.4%
The market54.1%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.3%
Our model10.0%
The market8.7%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
11.53

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.0%

2-1

9.9%

2-0

9.0% · actual

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.