1. Division badge1. Division · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Pafos badgePafosvsAris badgeAris

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
68.7%
Market said
59.9%
Edge
+8.8 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67

MediumEdge +8.8%
Our model68.7%
The market59.9%

The market underrated this by 8.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Pafos badge

Pafos

Attack80
Defence54
Form53
Aris badge

Aris

Attack51
Defence39
Form24

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.7%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market81.3%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.23

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.8%Close
Our model68.7%
The market59.9%
Edge
+8.8
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Pafos Win

Edge +15.5%Correct
Our model65.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
+15.5
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.1%Miss
Our model64.2%
The market62.1%
Edge
+2.1
Odds
1.61

Draw No Bet

Pafos (DNB)

Edge +1.9%Correct
Our model59.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.2%
Our model9.4%
The market8.2%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.24

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.4%

1-0

7.5%

2-0

7.2% · actual

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.