UEFA Europa League badgeUEFA Europa League · 13 August 2026AI PICK

Pafos badgePafosvsRed Bull Salzburg badgeRed Bull Salzburg

3 - 3
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.1%
Market said
41.7%
Edge
+19.4 pts
Best odds
2.40

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Red Bull Salzburg Win

Match Winner · best price 2.40

MediumEdge +19.4%
Our model61.1%
The market41.7%

The market underrated this by 19.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Pafos badge

Pafos

Attack22
Defence56
Form22
Red Bull Salzburg badge

Red Bull Salzburg

Attack74
Defence75
Form69

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +0.1%Correct
Our model75.3%
The market75.2%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
1.33

Draw No Bet

Red Bull Salzburg (DNB)

Edge +6.8%Void
Our model63.9%
The market57.1%
Edge
+6.8
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Red Bull Salzburg Win

Edge +19.4%Miss
Our model61.1%
The market41.7%
Edge
+19.4
Odds
2.40

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.3%Correct
Our model53.7%
The market50.4%
Edge
+3.3
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +5.4%Miss
Our model52.8%
The market47.4%
Edge
+5.4
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-2

Miss
Our model13.4%
The market15.4%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
6.48

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-2

13.4%

0-1

11.1%

0-3

9.8%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.