UEFA Europa Conference League badgeUEFA Europa Conference League · 16 July 2026AI PICK

Paide badgePaidevsHegelmann Litauen badgeHegelmann Litauen

3 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.7%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+2.1 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +2.1%
Our model57.7%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 2.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Paide badge

Paide

Attack49
Defence63
Form51
Hegelmann Litauen badge

Hegelmann Litauen

Attack45
Defence48
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.1%Miss
Our model57.7%
The market55.6%
Edge
+2.1
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Paide (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.2%Correct
Our model55.8%
The market55.6%
Edge
+0.2
Odds
1.80

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model51.7%
The market89.3%
Edge
-37.6
Odds
1.12

Match Winner

Paide Win

Correct
Our model41.8%
The market59.9%
Edge
-18.1
Odds
1.67

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model8.9%
The market10.3%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.73

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.9%

1-1

12.6%

1-2

7.8%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.