UEFA Europa Conference League badgeUEFA Europa Conference League · 23 July 2026AI PICK

Paide badgePaidevsZira badgeZira

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.4%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+18.1 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +18.1%
Our model69.4%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 18.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Paide badge

Paide

Attack49
Defence51
Form44
Zira badge

Zira

Attack80
Defence42
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model73.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
-11.7
Odds
1.18

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +18.1%Miss
Our model69.4%
The market51.3%
Edge
+18.1
Odds
1.95

Draw No Bet

Zira (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.7%Miss
Our model53.3%
The market47.6%
Edge
+5.7
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

Zira Win

Miss
Our model50.9%
The market67.6%
Edge
-16.7
Odds
1.48

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.6%
The market9.8%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.17

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.6%

1-1

8.1%

2-2

6.8%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.