FA Cup badgeFA Cup · 15 July 2026AI PICK

Paju Citizen badgePaju CitizenvsGangneung City badgeGangneung City

3 - 2
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.1%
Market said
48.1%
Edge
+6.0 pts
Best odds
2.08

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.08

LowEdge +6.0%
Our model54.1%
The market48.1%

The market underrated this by 6.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Paju Citizen badge

Paju Citizen

Attack33
Defence59
Form38
Gangneung City badge

Gangneung City

Attack33
Defence49
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Draw No Bet

Paju Citizen (DNB)

Edge +3.1%Correct
Our model60.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.0%Miss
Our model54.1%
The market48.1%
Edge
+6.0
Odds
2.08

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +3.0%Miss
Our model53.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
2.00

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market85.5%
Edge
-35.5
Odds
1.17

Match Winner

Paju Citizen Win

Correct
Our model39.9%
The market61.7%
Edge
-21.8
Odds
1.62

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model11.7%
The market13.5%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
7.42

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.7%

1-1

15.2%

0-0

14.0%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.