Coppa Italia badgeCoppa Italia · 17 August 2026AI PICK

Palermo badgePalermovsLecce badgeLecce

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
48.6%
Edge
+9.8 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +9.8%
Our model58.4%
The market48.6%

The market underrated this by 9.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Palermo badge

Palermo

Attack67
Defence75
Form44
Lecce badge

Lecce

Attack60
Defence75
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model72.1%
The market73.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.8%Close
Our model58.4%
The market48.6%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Palermo (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model54.2%
The market55.2%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Palermo Win

Edge +2.3%Correct
Our model42.3%
The market40.0%
Edge
+2.3
Odds
2.50

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model8.1%
The market9.3%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.79

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.1%

1-1

8.3%

2-2

7.3%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.