Primera División badgePrimera División · 24 April 2026AI PICK

Palestino badgePalestinovsConcepción badgeConcepción

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.7%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+16.4 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +16.4%
Our model67.7%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 16.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Palestino badge

Palestino

Attack45
Defence40
Form40
Concepción badge

Concepción

Attack27
Defence37
Form13

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +16.4%Correct
Our model67.7%
The market51.3%
Edge
+16.4
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

Palestino Win

Edge +13.1%Miss
Our model63.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+13.1
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Palestino (DNB)

Edge +2.9%Miss
Our model60.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model43.9%
The market54.6%
Edge
-10.7
Odds
1.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.