CONMEBOL Sudamericana badgeCONMEBOL Sudamericana · 26 May 2026AI PICK

Palestino badgePalestinovsDeportivo Riestra badgeDeportivo Riestra

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
66.7%
Market said
61.7%
Edge
+5.0 pts
Best odds
1.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62

MediumEdge +5.0%
Our model66.7%
The market61.7%

The market underrated this by 5.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Palestino badge

Palestino

Attack48
Defence37
Form36
Deportivo Riestra badge

Deportivo Riestra

Attack18
Defence52
Form27

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Draw No Bet

Palestino (DNB)

Edge +9.9%Void
Our model67.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+9.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model66.7%
The market61.7%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.62

Match Winner

Palestino Win

Edge +15.6%Miss
Our model62.1%
The market46.5%
Edge
+15.6
Odds
2.15

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model36.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-13.4
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +3.4%Miss
Our model25.7%
The market22.3%
Edge
+3.4
Odds
4.48

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

25.7%

0-0

18.7%

2-0

14.5%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.