Serie A badgeSerie A · 26 July 2026AI PICK

Palmeiras badgePalmeirasvsAtletico-MG badgeAtletico-MG

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
47.1%
Edge
+14.1 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +14.1%
Our model61.2%
The market47.1%

The market underrated this by 14.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Palmeiras badge

Palmeiras

Attack71
Defence100
Form76
Atletico-MG badge

Atletico-MG

Attack49
Defence58
Form57

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model73.0%
The market87.7%
Edge
-14.7
Odds
1.14

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +14.1%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market47.1%
Edge
+14.1
Odds
2.05

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.1%Correct
Our model58.8%
The market46.7%
Edge
+12.1
Odds
2.08

Draw No Bet

Palmeiras (DNB)

Miss
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Palmeiras Win

Miss
Our model49.5%
The market62.5%
Edge
-13.0
Odds
1.60

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.1%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
9.03

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.6%

1-1

10.4%

2-0

7.4%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.